Decision Framework1 book · 3 highlights

Cheap Stocks Deserve Their Price Until Proven Otherwise

Books Teaching This Pattern

Evidence

The Davis Dynasty by John Rothchild — book cover

The Davis Dynasty

John Rothchild · 3 highlights

  1. "many cheap stocks deserved to be cheap because they were attached to mediocre enterprises."

  2. "A "prolonged sinking spell" in a specific company was, to him, a sign of possible trouble behind the scenes. Most likely, a swoon occurred when knowledgeable insiders dumped their shares. "It probably means, as they used to say in `01' Man River,"' he told an audience, "…"

  1. "his short career as a regulator, he'd developed a method for separating winners from losers, which he described in a speech to the Greater New York Insurance Brokers Association in 1952. The topic was "How Healthy Is Your Insurer?" but, between the lines, the audience got a tutorial in savvy stock selection.First, he crunched the numbers to find out "whether a company was making money or losing its shirt." This required a working knowledge of the accounting tricks that were in widespread use in the industry. Once he'd assured himself that a company was profitable, he turned his attention to the portfolio where the assets compounded. Here, he separated reliableassets (government bonds, mortgages, blue-chip stocks) from iffy assets. He was about to invest in an apparently attractive insurer when he noticed its portfolio was loaded with junk bonds. Later, several of these risky issues defaulted, and the…"

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