Seventy Percent Victory Threshold

“But if you dawdle waiting for a “ninety percent chance of winning,” competitors could get ahead, and you would be left trailing. Therefore, he suggests one should take the plunge when confident of a “seventy percent chance of victory.””

“However, in reality, there is never a battle guaranteed to be won. The issue is probability. Masayoshi Son warns, “Don’t gamble on a fifty-fifty chance,” as it means the probability of winning and losing is equal.”